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History repeating itself with Jeimer Candelario worth fantasy baseball gamble

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As we all know, history has a way of repeating itself and, as it has been said by multiple people over the years, those who don’t know about the past are destined to repeat it.

Well, if history is often replicated, that should be a good thing for Detroit’s Jeimer Candelario, especially after his disappointing first half.

Roto Rage deemed Candelario a potential breakout candidate and the most underrated fantasy third baseman this season after he finished 2021 tied for league-lead in doubles while hitting .271 with 16 homers, 67 RBIs, 75 runs.

That prognostication certainly backfired … at least for the first half.

Candelario finished the first half hitting .191 with six homers, 23 RBIs, 26 runs and .570 OPS, and entered the weekend hitting .212 with 10 homers, 32 RBIs and a .646 OPS. He had nine doubles on the year, which was just 26 behind league-leader Matt Olson. His 10 big flies were the most on the Tigers, but that’s merely a sad fact for a disappointing player on a disappointing squad.

The first-half misery didn’t stop there. Candelario had career-worst marks in walk percentage (6.5 percent) and on-base percentage (.259), and his max exit velocity (109.1 mph) was his lowest mark since 2017.

So, what makes him worth talking about now?

Tigers
Jeimer Candelario
USA TODAY Sports

In his first eight games since the break, Candelario was 11-for-28 (.393) with four homers, nine RBIs and a 1.307 OPS. During this brief stretch, he ranked second in the majors in homers, fifth in RBIs, 17th in average, fourth in slugging percentage (.893) and sixth in OPS. Again, it’s a small sample size, but there is reason to believe Candelario’s red-hot start to the second half can continue.

Candelario ended the first half with a .234 BABIP, which indicates he was unlucky. It also supports a second-half rebound. Though his .363 BABIP during this hot stretch is unsustainable, there should be a nice middle ground — especially with Candelario’s expected average sitting at .232 (still not great) and his expected slugging percentage is .407.

Here is where history repeating itself would be a blessing: After hitting a respectable .262 with five homers, 24 RBIs and .723 OPS in the first half of 2021, Candelario excelled in the second half. He hit .282 with 11 homers, 43 RBIs, 38 runs, .882 OPS and 2.4 WAR (the 10th best mark in the AL). During his seven-year career, Candelario has been stronger after the break (.256, 25 HRs, 100 RBIs, .339 OBP, .435 SLG, .774 OPS) than in the first half (.222, 31 HRs, 101 RBI, .310 OBP, .369 SLG, .679 OPS), which should bode well for the rest of the season.

Could this be just a hot stretch for Candelario, who remains available in more than 55 percent of ESPN leagues? Without a doubt. But if history’s repeating itself with another second-half surge, it isn’t a bad idea to hop on board and reap the rewards.

Tigers
Jeimer Candelario
USA TODAY Sports

Here’s a look at other surging third-base eligible players worthy of an add:

Arizona’s Josh Rojas is eligible at four positions and remains severely underowned (less than 50 percent), especially as someone who entered Friday with six homers, 29 RBIs, 37 runs, 11 stolen bases and a .357 OBP. He raised his average from .248 entering July to .283 after going 26-for-72 (.361) with two homers, 11 RBIs, 12 runs, six stolen bases and 1.008 OPS in his first 22 games this month.

Another vastly ignored player is Minnesota’s Jose Miranda (12.6 percent). He entered the weekend on a four-game hit streak, which included three straight three-hit games this week in which he drove in five runs. He was hitting .094 on May 18, but raised his average to .281 since after going 52-for-150 (.347) with eight homers, 34 RBIs and a .964 OPS in his next 47 games. In 22 games since June 27, he hit .384 with five homers, 21 RBIs, 11 runs and a 1.067 OPS.

Philadelphia’s Alec Bohm, on fewer than 30 percent of ESPN rosters, entered the weekend on a 13-game hit streak, going 22-for-46 (.478) with two homers, 10 RBIs, 10 runs, just six strikeouts and a 1.174 OPS in that span. He had at least one hit in 30 of his past 34 games — hitting .368 with two homers, 20 RBIs, 19 runs and a .877 OPS in that stretch.

Baltimore’s Ramon Urias (28.8 percent owned) was the most added player in ESPN leagues this week after he hit .354 with five homers, 18 RBIs, 11 runs, 1.013 OPS and a 19.5 percent strikeout rate (well below his 24 percent career mark) in his first 19 games back from the injured list.

Big Hits

Andrew Benintendi OF, Yankees

Came to The Bronx on an eight-game hitting streak, and hit .398 with 14 RBIs, 12 runs, three stolen bases, .457 OBP and .891 OPS in his final 23 games with the Royals.

Yankees
Andrew Benintendi
AP

Cole Irvin SP, Athletics

Has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his five starts this month, going 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA .160 opponents’ average and .431 OPS.

Raimel Tapia OF, Blue Jays

Had at least one hit in 13 of his previous 17 games, hitting .415 with two homers, 15 RBIs, a stolen base, .642 SLG and 1.078 OPS.

Taijuan Walker SP, Mets

Has not lost since June 7, going 5-0 with a 2.12 ERA, 51 strikeouts and .209 opponents’ average in his past eight starts.

Big Whiffs

Kyle Schwarber 1B/OF, Phillies

Hit just .148 with eight strikeouts in his first seven games since the break, and was 12-for-83 (.145) with 33 strikeouts, four walks and .182 OBP in 21 games since July 2. Of his 12 hits in that span, nine were homers.

Nathan Eovaldi SP, Red Sox

Allowed 15 earned runs over his past 13 innings (10.38 ERA) while going 0-1 with two homers allowed, four walks and a .371 opponents’ average.

Joc Pederson OF, Giants

The All-Star last homered on June 25, and had went 11-for-67 (.164) with four RBIs, 17 strikeouts, four runs and a .519 OPS in 25 games since.

Kevin Gausman SP, Blue Jays

Went 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA and 70-6 strikeout-walk rate over his first 10 starts, but is 2-5 with a 4.43 ERA and .330 opponents’ average over his past nine.

Check Swings

  • Austin Riley of Atlanta had at least one hit in 21 of his first 23 games this month (including an 18-game hit streak), hitting .413 with 10 homers, 21 RBIs, 20 runs, a .859 slugging percentage and 1.313 OPS. For his career, he is a .288 hitter in July with 22 homers and 56 RBIs. He also has a .602 slugging percentage and .960 OPS, both his highest marks for any month.
  • Despite hitting just .245 for the season entering the weekend, Toronto’s Matt Chapman was 24-for-62 (.387) with seven homers, 17 RBIs, 14 runs, one stolen base and 1.255 OPS over his past 17 games.
  • Fun with numbers: Aaron Judge entered Friday with 39 home runs in 426 plate appearances. His teammate, Joey Gallo, entered the weekend with 37 hits in his first 273 plate appearances. That’s not a typo, Judge has more homers than Gallo has hits. Just as amazing, Gallo had just six fewer strikeouts (112 for Judge, 106 for Gallo) than Judge in 136 fewer at-bats.
  • Still vastly underowned alert: The Cubs’ Nico Hoerner is owned in fewer than 40 percent of ESPN leagues, but entered the weekend hitting .315 with three homers, 17 RBIs, 23 runs, five stolen bases and a .807 OPS in 47 games since June 1.
  • Random Brandon Rodgers check in: After he hit .165 with 22 strikeouts in his first 21 games, the versatile Rockies infielder is hitting .305 with eight homers, 40 RBIs, 38 runs and .833 OPS in 67 since games since May 8.
  • Fantasy owners should be elated that Luis Castillo, who is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and .187 opponents average over his past five starts (and 4-4 with a 2.86 ERA and .201 opponents average overall), was traded to the Mariners on Friday. Not only does he join a Top 10 pitching staff for a team in the playoff hunt, but he will now call a pitcher-friendly park his home.

Team Name of the Week

You Votto Know

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What Time Will ‘Riverdale’ Season 6 Be on Netflix?

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The season finale of Riverdale aired in late July on The CW. Notice we said season finale? Thankfully, the beloved series will return for a seventh season, but, unfortunately, Season 7 will be the final installment of Riverdale.

If you already streamed the current season, make sure to read Alex Zalben’s interview with Riverdale showrunner Roberto Aguirre-Sacasa on Decider. If you’re waiting to binge Season 6 on Netflix, well, you better clear your calendar because all 22 episodes are about to drop on the streamer. What time will the sixth season of Riverdale debut on Netflix? What time does Netflix release shows? Here’s everything you need to know.

WHEN IS THE RIVERDALE SEASON 6 NETFLIX RELEASE DATE?

Riverdale Season 6 premieres Sunday, August 7 on Netflix.

HOW MANY EPISODES ARE IN RIVERDALE SEASON 6?

The sixth season of Riverdale consists of 22 episodes.

WHAT TIME DOES NETFLIX RELEASE NEW SHOWS?

Netflix releases new episodes at 3:00 a.m. ET/12:00 a.m. PT.

WHAT TIME WILL RIVERDALE SEASON 6 BE ON NETFLIX?

Netflix is based out of California, so Riverdale Season 6 will be available to stream at 12:00 a.m. Pacific Standard Time (3:00 a.m. Eastern Standard Time) beginning Sunday, August 7. If the clock strikes 12:00 (or 3:00 a.m. for folks on the East Coast) and you don’t see the new episodes, give it a moment, hit refresh, and then enjoy the show!

WILL THERE BE A SEASON 7 OF RIVERDALE?

Yes! Decider recently covered that very topic.

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Actress Anne Heche Suffers Severe Burns After Crashing Car Into Los Angeles Home

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Actress Anne Heche, known for her roles in such films as Donnie Brasco, Volcano and I Know What You Did Last Summer, was involved in a fiery car crash in the Mar Vista area of Los Angeles on Friday.

According to TMZ, Heche was driving a blue Mini Cooper and had first crashed into the garage of an apartment complex. Residents of the apartment complex tried to get her out of the vehicle but she backed up and sped off.

Footage of Heche speeding down the streets of her neighborhood had been obtained by TMZ as well as her initial encounter at the apartment complex.

In the first clip, you can hear her car crash towards the end. It has been reported that the actress crashed into someone’s home, causing her vehicle and the house to erupt into flames. Heche suffered severe burns and was resisting being taken away in a stretcher. You can also view footage of this via the TMZ article.

It has not been confirmed whether alcohol has been involved in the incident since her condition prevents doctors from performing any tests to determine if she was driving under the influence. She is currently intubated in the hospital but expected to live.

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These are the vulgar license-plate requests the DMV has rejected

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Stay CL4SSY, New York!

The state Department of Motor Vehicles nixed 3,752 requests for vanity license plates in the last three years because it deemed them too raunchy, radical or simply ridiculous.

New York’s personalized plates go for $60 initially, and then $31.25 annually for renewal. You can get any plate as long as no one else has it and it’s not offensive.

Odds are a request for a plate that marks a wedding anniversary or shows your allegiance to a team — like METS86 — will pass muster with the DMV gatekeepers.

Vulgarity won’t get you to first base.

So plates with the phrase LFGM — the acronym for Pete Alonso’s “Let’s F–king Go Mets” rallying cry — did not make the cut.

And you won’t see anyone driving around with the custom plates MILFDAD, AS5M4N and WLHUNG.

Crude meanings such as “MILFDAD” are unacceptable by the DMV.
Crude meanings such as “MILFDAD” are unacceptable by the DMV.
New York DMV
NYC123
New York state Department of Motor Vehicles denied more than 3.5 thousand requests for license plates deemed inappropriate.
New York DMV
“AS5M4N” was rejected for referring to “Ass man.”
“AS5M4N” was rejected for referring to “Ass man.”
New York DMV

The DMV also put NICEBUNS, FATFANNY, GOTAPOOP and BENDOVER in the rear-view mirror.

One player unsuccessfully tried to score the plate YESDADDY, to no avail.

The DMV also shot down such dark requests as DEADGIRL, GENOC1DE, S8TAN, DETONATE and MURDERM3.

“SUM8ITCH” is not allowed.
“SUM8ITCH” is not allowed.
New York DMV
The DMV thoroughly nixed a request for “CNNLIES.”
The DMV thoroughly nixed a request for “CNNLIES.”
New York DMV
BOOBIE is prohibited.
BOOBIE is prohibited.
New York DMV

Getting political is a dead end too — FJOEBIDN, FDTRUMP and CNNLIES were nixed.

LUDEDUDE, NARCO, GOT METH and BLUNT also went up in smoke.

Staten Island attorney Bill Dertinger said his blue 1995 Jaguar SJS was tagged with ESQLTD after his company and his 2014 Porsche had the plate GHOSTGTS because the sleek sportscar was white.

“The plates can make you stand out — which can be a curse or a blessing,” the 54-year-old Dertinger said. “Make sure you don’t cut anybody off.”

A man attempted to sneak in “YESDADDY” onto his license plate.
A man attempted to sneak in “YESDADDY” onto his license plate.
New York DMV
The DMV stopped a request for “FJOEBIDEN.”
The DMV stopped a request for “FJOEBIDEN.”
New York DMV
The DMV also rejects any license plates referring to politics.
The DMV also rejects any license plates referring to politics.
New York DMV

There must be a New York Jets fan playing referee at the DMV because a request for the seemingly innocent plate GASE was sidelined. Ex-Jets head coach Adam Gase had an offensive 9-23 win-loss record during his forgettable two-year tenure.

The DMV would not reveal who gives the final yea or nay.

“The DMV reviews all custom license plate requests and works hard to ensure that any combinations that may be considered objectionable are rejected,” said agency spokesman Tim O’Brien.

“GLOCKS” referring to guns is not accepted by the DMV.
“GLOCKS” referring to guns is not accepted by the DMV.
New York DMV
“FLYMOFO” is not approved by the DMV.
“FLYMOFO” is not approved by the DMV.
New York DMV

He said guidelines on what plate combinations are restricted can be found on the DMV website: https://dmv.ny.gov/learn-about-personalized-plates. Approximately 50,000 personalized and custom plates are sold per year, O’Brien said.

Bagged Tags

The state DMV has rejected 3,752 requests for custom license plates in the last three years because it deemed them potentially offensive. Here are some:

YESDADDY

FJOEBIDN

FDTRUMP

GLOCKS

FLYMOFO

BOOBIE

AS5M4N

BUDLIGHT

DEADGIRL

SUM8ITCH

GENOC1DE

S8TAN

CNNLIES

DETONATE

MURDERM3

MILFDAD

WLHUNG

Source: NYS DMV

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